Coronavirus poses big challenge to $60 billion cruise industry

NEW YORK (NYTIMES) – For the cruise industry, the coronavirus is a public relations nightmare.

For more than a week, the world has watched as the Diamond Princess ship was quarantined in the Japanese port of Yokohama, its 3,600 passengers and crew stuck and the number of people infected by the coronavirus climbing to at least 175.

A second ship has been sailing the South China Sea like a modern-day version of the Flying Dutchman, turned away from five ports over fears that a person on board was infected.

Even thousands of miles from the outbreak, in Bayonne, New Jersey, four Chinese passengers aboard a cruise liner were briefly quarantined after health officials screened more than two dozen passengers. They turned out not to have the coronavirus.

The cruise lines have faced crises before, from their ongoing battles with the norovirus, which can tear through an entire shipload of passengers causing gastrointestinal problems, to the 2012 sinking of the Costa Concordia, whose captain ran it aground off the coast of Italy, killing 32 people.

But Covid-19, as the virus has been named, whose ultimate worldwide spread is still to be seen, could be its biggest challenge yet.

“The longer ships like the Diamond Princess stay in the press, the more people who have never taken a cruise before think of cruising as a less than ideal vacation,” said Mr James Hardiman, managing director of equity research for Wedbush Securities, who follows the industry.

Cruise companies have been reluctant to release any data about whether there has been any impact on bookings in the US$45.6 billion (S$63.3 billion) global industry in the weeks since the outbreak began in the Chinese city of Wuhan, but some travel advisers said they are off by 10 per cent to 15 per cent.

The companies, including the biggest lines like Norwegian Cruise Lines and Carnival Corp, which includes Princess Cruises, have either declined to comment or released statements reiterating that their priority is passenger safety.

Each cruise line also listed the precautions it is taking to keep passengers safe: Because they typically have thousands of people in a small space over an extended period, cruise ships are known to be incubators for illnesses.

Not surprisingly, cruises in Asia and the Pacific were especially hard hit.

Mr Alex Sharpe, president and chief executive of Signature Travel Network, a consortium of 7,000 travel advisers, said that “new demand for these cruises is very low currently”, and that spring sailings were “unlikely to sell from our market”.

“If the industry doesn’t get its arms around this, it could affect customer confidence in China towards cruises for a very long time,” said Mr Hardiman, of Wedbush Securities.

China has been one of the travel industry’s biggest growth markets in recent years, and trips in the Asia-Pacific region make up about 10 per cent of the industry, according to the Cruise Lines International Association, a trade group.

Between 8 per cent and 9 per cent of passengers on cruise lines represented by the trade group are from China, Macau or Hong Kong, and the number of ships deployed in Asia grew 53 per cent between 2013 and 2017.

A growing number of ports across the Pacific, from Busan, South Korea, to the New Caledonian ports of Lifou, Mare and Isle of Pines, are banning cruise ships. Hong Kong has been closed since Feb 6.

Passengers said that rather than trying to accommodate them, cruise companies have been uncommunicative and unhelpful.

Ms Maranda Priem, 24, of Washington, DC, and her 53-year-old mother, from Minnesota, were supposed to be aboard the Norwegian Jade, a 2,200-passenger ship operated by Norwegian Cruise Lines, which was originally scheduled to depart from Hong Kong next Monday (Feb 17) for a cruise stopping in Singapore, Vietnam and Thailand.

As her concerns about the coronavirus grew, Ms Priem repeatedly e-mailed and called the company asking if she could switch to a different cruise or receive a refund or future credit. Her requests were denied.

In an e-mail on Feb 4, Ms Roxane Sanford, coordinator of guest relations for the cruise line, reminded Ms Priem that “mainland China does not include Hong Kong, Macau or Taiwan” and added that “regrettably, we are unable to proceed with cancellation and refund”.

When the Hong Kong port closed, the company moved the sailing to Singapore, a change in itinerary that required Ms Priem and other passengers to rebook their flights and absorb any extra costs. On Wednesday, she decided to cancel, without knowing if she would get the nearly US$1,700 she paid for the cruise back.

“It’s been a bit of a nightmare dealing with Norwegian,” she said. “Norwegian won’t tell us what they will reimburse, and they haven’t been helpful.”

Norwegian Cruise Line did not respond to requests for comment.

When a ship’s itinerary is changed, “passengers have little recourse as a practical matter”, said Mr Jim Walker, a maritime lawyer who represents people suing cruise lines. “Cruise lines are able to freely alter their itineraries, and if you don’t have insurance, you’re just stuck, and the trouble with insurance is, it often has exceptions for pandemics and things like this.”

Mr Walker said that he has received a “significantly higher” volume of calls from travellers looking for guidance on how to deal with cruise lines changing itineraries without offering refunds or the chance to reschedule.

Cruises tend to be expensive – with an average nine-day sailing in Asia running about US$1,800, travel advisers said – and booked long in advance.

Ms Angela Jones, 56, from Canton, Georgia, a passenger on the MS Westerdam, the Holland America ship that was stuck in limbo looking for a port that would take it, booked her trip 1½ years ago.

When news about the coronavirus broke, her daughter, Ms Jordan Jones Dorman, said on Tuesday, that “she considered cancelling, but the company said repeatedly that they’d be OK and wouldn’t offer a refund if she cancelled. She’d been saving up for this trip. Hindsight is 20-20, but why was the cruise still happening?”

Sihanoukville, in Cambodia, finally agreed to let the ship dock on Wednesday. Holland America Line said that it would arrange and pay for all passengers’ flights home, in addition to giving a full refund for the cruise.

Mr Hardiman, of Wedbush Securities, estimated that it cost Royal Caribbean about US$4 million to cancel a recent four-day cruise, a number that could differ depending on ship size and other factors.

“Cruise companies have never seen this before and just don’t know what to do,” said Mr Ross Klein, a sociologist at Memorial University of Newfoundland who studies the cruise industry.

“For the cruise lines and the industry, a lot of these decisions are based on economics. They are asking themselves, ‘How do we get by spending the least amount of money and losing the least amount of money?’”

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