DBS upgrades SPH Reit to ‘hold’, sees light at end of tunnel

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SINGAPORE – Group Research on Friday (May 29) upgraded SPH to “” from “fully valued” and raised its target price to $0.80 from $0.70.

Units of SPH Reit were trading at 84 cents as at 10.40am, up 1.5 cents or 1.8 per cent.

DBS analyst Dale Lai upgraded the stock as the real estate investment trust (Reit) is currently trading at its trough valuation, with an estimated price to net asset value ratio of about 0.86.

He raised SPH Reit’s target price to reflect the resumption of rental collections in the coming weeks as malls prepare to reopen in July.

“As the worst of the Covid-19 pandemic is past us, we can see the at the end of the with the gradual easing of the circuit-breaker measures,” he wrote.

Mr Lai added that SPH Reit’s cut in distribution per unit (DPU) may have come as a shock to investors, but could now “become the upside surprise” given the nation’s recently proposed rental waiver Bill.

The Reit had cut its DPU by 79 per cent to 0.3 cent for the second quarter, with the retained income used to offset tenant rentals during the circuit breaker period.

SPH Reit committed up to 2.3 months of rental relief to selected tenants – the most generous among retail landlords.

Under the proposed Bill, landlords could potentially have to give tenants up to two months of rental relief, Mr Lai said.

The proposed Bill was announced on Tuesday alongside the Fortitude Budget, with Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat announcing that landlords must grant a rental waiver to small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) tenants that have suffered a significant revenue drop in the past few months.

Mr Heng, who is also Finance Minister, had said that eligible SME tenants in commercial properties will receive four months of rental relief, shared equally between the Government and landlords.

However, Mr Lai said it is “unlikely” that SPH Reit would have to provide more rebates, or make further provisions, given the already generous rebates given to its tenants.

“We see limited downside risks (caused by the proposed Bill) to SPH Reit’s earnings forecasts. Its prudence in making provisions for tenant rental relief should provide some buffer to revenues for the rest of FY20,” he wrote.

Mr Lai noted that SPH Reit’s Paragon mall, which is located in Orchard Road, would continue facing weakness in the near term, as tourist arrivals and the luxury retail sector remain impacted by the Covid-19 pandemic and impending economic slowdown.

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